{"id":10571,"date":"2023-09-26T11:24:49","date_gmt":"2023-09-26T16:24:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/weatherbrains.com\/?p=10571"},"modified":"2023-09-26T11:24:49","modified_gmt":"2023-09-26T16:24:49","slug":"weatherbrains-923-perturb-the-initial-conditions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/weatherbrains.com\/?p=10571","title":{"rendered":"WeatherBrains 923:  Perturb The Initial Conditions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a title=\"Episode 923\" href=\"http:\/\/traffic.libsyn.com\/weatherbrains\/wb092523.mp3\">WeatherBrains Episode 923<\/a> is now online (September 25th, 2023). If you are crazy about weather, this is <strong>THE<\/strong> podcast for you!<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: medium;\" title=\"Embed Player\" src=\"https:\/\/play.libsyn.com\/embed\/episode\/id\/28147880\/height\/192\/theme\/modern\/size\/large\/thumbnail\/yes\/custom-color\/87A93A\/time-start\/00:00:00\/playlist-height\/200\/direction\/backward\/download\/yes\" width=\"100%\" height=\"192\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/gB2hNDAOXaE\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">?<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">?<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">?<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">?<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">?<\/span><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Tonight&#8217;s is a homegrown show that&#8217;s all about numerical weather prediction, led by our very own Dr. Neil Jacobs.<\/p>\n<p>Our email officer Jen is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners. Reach us here: email@weatherbrains.com.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Difference between numerical models (05:00)<\/li>\n<li>What is a CAM? \u00a0(06:45)<\/li>\n<li>Models and resolution (19:00)<\/li>\n<li>Difference between predictability and accuracy (29:30)<\/li>\n<li>Government shutdowns and modeling (38:00)<\/li>\n<li>UFS (Unified Forecast System) explained (45:45)<\/li>\n<li>STP composite index and it&#8217;s uses (54:00)<\/li>\n<li>Geopolitics (01:01:00)<\/li>\n<li>Tropical\/hurricane models and the HAFS (01:11:00)<\/li>\n<li>Models\/mesonet data relationship (01:14:30)<\/li>\n<li>Climate Forecast System and it&#8217;s value (01:17:45)<\/li>\n<li>Dealing with summertime airmass thunderstorms (01:19:30)<\/li>\n<li>The Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice (01:28:00)<\/li>\n<li>This Week in Tornado History With Jen (01:29:10)<\/li>\n<li>National Weather Round-Up (01:30:15)<\/li>\n<li>E-Mail Segment (01:<\/li>\n<li>and more!<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Web Sites from Episode 923:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Picks of the Week:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>James Aydelott &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/spahn711\/status\/1706125620755792137?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Alex Spahn on X: Supercell photo near Ada, Oklahoma<br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Jen Narramore &#8211; Foghorn<\/p>\n<p>Rick Smith &#8211; Out<\/p>\n<p>Neil Jacobs &#8211; Foghorn<\/p>\n<p>Troy Kimmel &#8211; Out<\/p>\n<p>Kim Klockow-McClain &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=GAamgBPebsk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Dave Matthews Band &#8220;Satellite&#8221; Official Video<br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bill Murray &#8211; Out<\/p>\n<p>James Spann &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/rogerpielkejr.substack.com\/p\/trends-in-us-tornado-damage-and-incidence\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trends in U.S. Tornado Damage and Incidence<br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Troy Kimmel, Bill Murray, Rick Smith, James Aydelott, Jen Narramore, Dr. Neil Jacobs, and Dr. Kim Klockow-McClain. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating podcast about weather.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WeatherBrains Episode 923 is now online (September 25th, 2023). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE podcast for you! ????? Tonight&#8217;s is a homegrown show that&#8217;s all about numerical weather prediction, led by our very own Dr. Neil Jacobs. Our email officer Jen is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19453,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10571","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-shows"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/weatherbrains.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10571","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/weatherbrains.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/weatherbrains.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weatherbrains.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/19453"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weatherbrains.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10571"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/weatherbrains.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10571\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10575,"href":"https:\/\/weatherbrains.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10571\/revisions\/10575"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/weatherbrains.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10571"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weatherbrains.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10571"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weatherbrains.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10571"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}